PDF Download The VXX Trend Following Strategy (Connors Research Trading Strategy Series), by Connors Research, Matt Radke, Cesar Alvarez, Larry Connors
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The VXX Trend Following Strategy (Connors Research Trading Strategy Series), by Connors Research, Matt Radke, Cesar Alvarez, Larry Connors
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Interest in Trading Volatility & Especially VXX is Exploding - - Here's Why . . .
In the past, Volatility trading was traditionally used by professionals as a method to hedge a portfolio.
Now individuals are trading volatility directly.
Volatility today is a new asset class with its own unique qualities that set it apart from equities, equity ETFs, commodity ETFs, or options.
In this new strategy guidebook from Connors Research, you will see a focus on the VXX, as it was one of the earliest volatility products on the market (meaning we have the most data available for back-testing). VXX also has higher trading volume than its peers.
The VXX Trend Following Strategy provides you with precise, quantified rules for entering and exiting your trades. 3 1/2 years of simulated historical results allow you to evaluate how effective different variations of the strategy have been over the lifetime of VXX.
A Sample Portfolio
Take a look at this sample portfolio, based on trading just one of the variations of the The VXX Trend Following Strategy over the past 3 1/2 years. The table shows the monthly and annual percentage gains, which have been substantial every year since the inception of VXX.
2009201020112012
Jan.+ 5.89%+ 11.12%+ 21.53%
Feb.0.00%+ 3.57%- 1.09%+ 3.38%
Mar.+ 0.02%+ 16.07%- 8.08%+ 24.08%
Apr.+ 0.01%+ 2.41%- 18.63%- 4.22%
May+ 6.75%+ 7.58%+ 5.53%- 5.20%
June+ 8.12%+ 5.85%- 5.12%- 15.62%
July+ 8.25%- 5.86%- 12.43%- 5.08%
Aug- 0.72%- 8.43%+ 40.76%+ 16.15%
Sept.+ 11.82%+ 22.01%+ 39.95%
Oct.- 4.68%+ 16.19%- 11.56%
Nov.+ 9.76%- 3.42%- 0.01%
Dec.+ 13.09%+ 20.27%+ 12.89%
Totals+ 64.16%+ 110.72%+ 106.82%+ 32.46%
Here is What You Will Learn from The VXX Trend Following Strategy
--Exact Trading Rules. You will learn 4 Simple Rules that you can combine to form multiple trading strategies.
--You will learn dozens of high performing fully quantified VXX strategy variations. These include variations on both the long and the short side.
--This is not a black box – full disclosure of the rules is given to you, so you can combine and create strategies to fit your personal trading style.
--Portfolio Management. You will get fully detailed sample portfolios (based on 3 1/2 years of simulated historical results) that help you see how you can manage your own portfolio dedicated exclusively to trading the VXX.
Completely Quantified Trading Results
As you may know, much trading can be very subjective. What we have done is remove the subjectivity and quantified for you dozens of VXX setups which have seen significant gains.
High-Probability Trading with the VXX
As professional traders have found, the VXX tends to have a downward bias. (You will learn more about this in the Strategy Guidebook.) So, here we show you the top 10 strategy variations on the short side from The VXX Trend Following Strategy.
Average %Average
Profit/LossDays Held Win%
1+ 6.49%15.7157.14%
2+ 4.87%15.3150.00%
3+ 3.32%9.0050.00%
4+ 3.12%8.8645.76%
5+ 3.08%5.7155.26%
6+ 3.08%8.8251.79%
7+ 3.04%5.5554.55%
8+ 2.95%8.7948.28%
9+ 2.75%8.6849.12%
10+ 2.75%8.6642.37%
For Options Traders
The VXX Trend Following Strategy is right for you if you trade options. The historical returns have been strong and professional traders understand the power of applying options to their VXX trading. In this guidebook you’ll be able to do the same by combining The VXX Trend Following Strategy with options trading.
If you are looking to trade quantified, rule-based strategies available to individual traders, download The VXX Trend Following Strategy to your Kindle now.
- Sales Rank: #1443964 in eBooks
- Published on: 2012-10-17
- Released on: 2012-10-17
- Format: Kindle eBook
Most helpful customer reviews
2 of 2 people found the following review helpful.
Thanks for the $100 moving average crossover system
By Scott Hodson
I like most of the books from Connors Research, but after getting this one I was a little underwhelmed that the strategy is just a simple moving average cross-over system of the VXX. It includes backtest results and information about the nature of VXX and it's relation to the VIX, but most of that is out on the web. I coded the system in Ninjatrader and my results didn't quite match up with the book's, but they were profitable but drawdown was larger than I would have liked, especially since 2015. There are more sophisticated volatility ETN strategies out there. Check out the "VIX and More" blog and tradingvolatility.net
0 of 0 people found the following review helpful.
Volatility and trend are your friends
By Lance McDonald, CMT
Connors Research offers both mean reversion and trend following strategies, but the VXX Trend Following Strategy is (obviously) the latter. The hardest part about this strategy is to understand the VXX symbol that you are trading. The VXX simply holds a portfolio of VIX (Volatility Index) futures. You will want to dig in and understand what you are buying and this book takes several pages to walk you through the VXX.
There are several strengths to this strategy. The first is that you only need to follow one trading symbol, VXX. Second, the trade entry rules are extremely straight forward and you will be able to set this up in any free trading/charting platform. Third, this strategy takes both long and short trades. To be “long” you are betting on the price to go higher and to be “short” means you are betting on price to go lower. You must understand this concept as the VXX has a downward bias and 85% of the trades will be “short”. Since the VXX is negatively correlated to the stock market, when the VXX is going lower, the stock market is going higher. So, most of the trades will be when the VXX is declining in price. The one downside is that the VXX has only been around since 2009, so there is not a decade of data to back test, but the results are compelling enough to stay engaged and not abandon the strategy.
It is typical to see trend following strategies with a Win Rate of 30% and still be profitable, but this is emotionally difficult for the trader. The VXX Trend Following Strategy has a Win Rate of 45% (depending on what moving average variation you use.) This is more than acceptable for a trend following system if you have the emotional strength to take the trades, and with an Average Gain per trade around 3%, the trader should feel more confident with each trade.
0 of 1 people found the following review helpful.
Stop talking about volatility and start profiting from volatility
By Mike Carr, CMT
Volatility is talked about a lot but few people explain how to turn talk into action. The VXX Trend Following Strategy provides rules that define exactly when to trade SPY based on volatility. The book is one of the very few that actually tells you how to trade volatility. Precise rules and back tested results allow you to trade with confidence. This is a valuable book that could pay for itself with 2 or 3 trades.
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